Zelensky Faces Ukraine’s Life-or-Death Crossroads: Peace or Collapse
At a time when the world is holding its breath watching the war in Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelensky once again finds himself in a position every leader dreads: standing at a crossroads where both paths are littered with loss. On one side is a U.S.-backed peace proposal that looks attractive on paper but is vague and riddled with uncertain conditions. On the other is the possibility of having no agreement at all—meaning an open-ended war that will continue draining Ukraine’s military strength, economy, and national morale.
U.S. President Donald Trump, who has long sought to carve out a legacy as a “peacemaker,” has decided to step back from the Thanksgiving deadline he himself set for a Ukraine peace deal. This is not a significant concession but rather a clear sign that the ongoing talks between his envoy Steve Witkoff and Russian officials in Moscow are unlikely to produce any real breakthrough. The distance between the two sides remains, and each round of negotiations seems only to widen it.
Russia continues to insist on full control of the Donetsk region—a demand Ukraine and almost all European allies consider an immovable red line. In the leaked U.S. draft plan from last week, the concession of Donetsk had already been removed, likely because Washington understood that such a demand would make any proposal toxic and impossible to sell to Kyiv or Europe. But America deleting that clause does not mean Moscow will suddenly soften its stance. Throughout more than 10 years of conflict, Russia has launched three major incursions into Ukraine, and that history alone is enough to cast doubt on the sincerity of any Kremlin “ceasefire” offer.
The deadlock repeats endlessly: the U.S. negotiates one set of terms with Kyiv, then another with Moscow, hoping the two puzzle pieces might somehow fit. But war is not a jigsaw. The shattered pieces of interests, sacrifices, and fear cannot be forced into a tidy arrangement dreamed up at a conference table. This illusion of compatibility is why peace efforts always feel within reach—right until they evaporate the moment reality intrudes.
Many items in the draft deal exist only in theory: Ukraine’s future troop limits, the prospect of NATO membership, or whether Russia might be welcomed back into the G8. These issues—important as they are—remain purely speculative. History shows such commitments can easily shift or disappear altogether once confronted with the post-war realities of politics and economics. The only question that truly matters is whether any agreement can actually end the war.
That is the painful dilemma Zelensky must confront. Every proposal forces him into a cruel choice: surrendering part of Ukraine’s territory in exchange for a peace that may not last, or continuing to fight with depleted forces, risking even greater territorial and human losses. Neither option is desirable. In fact, both are tragedies in their own way.
While diplomats struggle to find a path forward, Ukraine’s domestic landscape grows more suffocating. A corruption scandal has resurfaced after investigators searched the home of the President’s Chief of Staff—who also happens to be the head negotiator. For Kyiv, where every resource is stretched to its limit by war, any internal fracture threatens public trust and weakens its negotiating position.
The military situation is equally grim. Ukraine faces a severe manpower shortage, while European financial support for next year remains uncertain. On the battlefield, Russia is applying pressure on three fronts at once: advancing rapidly in Zaporizhzhia, inching forward steadily in Pokrovsk, and tightening its grip near Kupiansk in the north. Kyiv cannot stretch its forces thin enough to withstand three intense offensives simultaneously. The remaining Ukrainian-controlled areas of Donetsk are also in peril as Kramatorsk continues to endure short-range drone strikes.
Few still believe Ukraine can reclaim lost territory anytime soon. Kyiv and its allies are now pinning their hopes—however risky—on the idea that Russia might exhaust itself first. Yet with a closed society like Russia, no one can predict where its breaking point lies. The 2023 Wagner rebellion proved this clearly: events once deemed impossible can erupt within mere hours of chaos.
But Ukraine cannot simply sit and wait for a miracle. Its challenges are all laid bare: a weary population, severe economic strain, internal tensions, and growing doubts about long-term defense capacity. Zelensky is not only fighting Russia’s army; he’s also fighting the ambiguity and complacency of international politics—where the existential needs of one nation are too often overshadowed by great-power calculations.
As the year nears its end, the picture grows darker. The idea of forcing Ukraine to cede territory for peace—once dismissed outright by Kyiv and Europe—has now slipped into the U.S. draft peace plan. Though it was omitted in Europe’s counterproposal, it remains at the core of Russia’s maximalist demands. A familiar cycle is about to repeat: Trump’s envoy will visit Moscow, Putin will restate his refusal to compromise, Washington will receive the message, Zelensky will face renewed pressure, and the world will brace for yet another “peace deadline” destined to pass without meaning.
In all this uncertainty, one truth remains constant: Ukraine does not have the luxury of walking away. Russia can decide to stop whenever it wants. Ukraine cannot. For them, this war is a question of national survival. They cannot choose retreat. They cannot choose fatigue. They cannot stop fighting.
Zelensky is not choosing between good and bad. He is choosing between bad and worse. And whatever the outcome, history will remember that Ukraine paid a devastating price simply to continue existing—a price that may force the world to ask itself whether it truly did enough, or merely watched a nation struggle on alone.





